Market price history
30 days · 2026-07-29 → 2026-08-28Daily median of eBay-sold (PriceCharting) sealed prices. Updates each time the price job runs.
Lillie's Determination #184
Mega Evolution · Special Illustration Rare
Where to pull it
Every ranked product whose packs can contain this exact card, best odds first. Odds assume uniform pull rates within the card's rarity tier — real sets short-print their biggest chases, so read them as a ceiling.
| Product | Market | Per pack | P(≥1) / product |
|---|---|---|---|
 Mega Evolution Booster Box (36 packs) | $302.30 | 1 in 1,010 | 3.5% |
 Mega Evolution Elite Trainer Box (9 packs) | $111.87 | 1 in 1,010 | 0.9% |
| Mega Evolution Elite Trainer Box — Pokémon Center (9 packs) | $203.96 | 1 in 1,010 | 0.9% |
 Phantasmal Flames Mega Charizard X ex Ultra-Premium Collection (18 packs) | $232.90 | 1 in 1,010 | 0.9% |
 Mega Evolution Mega Heroes Mini Tin - Mega Lucario (2 packs) | $22.00 | 1 in 1,010 | 0.2% |
 Mega Evolution Mega Heroes Mini Tin - Mega Gardevoir (2 packs) | $20.00 | 1 in 1,010 | 0.2% |
 Mega Evolution Mega Heroes Mini Tin - Mega Latias (2 packs) | $22.06 | 1 in 1,010 | 0.2% |
 Mega Evolution Mega Heroes Mini Tin - Mega Kangaskhan (2 packs) | $21.00 | 1 in 1,010 | 0.2% |
 Mega Evolution Mega Heroes Mini Tin - Mega Venusaur (2 packs) | $22.20 | 1 in 1,010 | 0.2% |
 Mega Evolution Booster Pack | $6.72 | 1 in 1,010 | 0.1% |
How much is Lillie's Determination #184 worth?
Lillie's Determination #184 is a Special Illustration Rare from the Pokémon TCG set Mega Evolution. Its current raw market value is $61.99, blended from live eBay sold prices and TCGplayer market data, and a PSA 10 copy sells for about $142.06.
What are the odds of pulling Lillie's Determination #184?
You can expect to pull Lillie's Determination roughly 1 in 1,010 packs — its Special Illustration Rare slot appears in about 1.0% of packs, shared across 10 cards of that rarity in Mega Evolution. Opening a whole Mega Evolution Booster Box (36 packs) gives you about a 3.5% chance of pulling at least one.
Which Mega Evolution product should you open for it?
Every product in the table above draws from the same Mega Evolution pack pool, so the honest answer is whichever costs least per pack — currently the Mega Evolution Booster Pack at $6.72. Bear in mind that on our numbers nearly every sealed Pokémon TCG product returns less than it costs when opened: buying the single outright is usually cheaper than chasing it.
Is Lillie's Determination worth grading?
A PSA 10 copy sells for about $142.06 against a raw price of $61.99 and a PSA fee of roughly $79.99 (Regular) — so a 10 nets about +$0.09. Of the 11,429 copies PSA has graded, 49.7% came back a 10 — and since people submit their cleanest copies, read that as a ceiling for a random pull, not your odds.
Lillie's Determination price history
Since we began tracking on 2026-07-29, Lillie's Determination has moved from $64.90 to $61.98 (-4.5%). The chart above shows every tracked day; history deepens daily and nothing earlier is invented.